Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.376311 0.500301 0.643367 0.818197 1.023631 1.255025 1.532977
2025-11-02 0.210205 0.356325 0.551508 0.819824 1.167757 1.592942 2.140754
2025-11-09 0.107295 0.243344 0.456953 0.786639 1.253679 1.864582 2.696266
2025-11-16 0.062488 0.190911 0.425402 0.824106 1.428833 2.259967 3.435681
2025-11-23 0.031967 0.141829 0.379649 0.825696 1.547323 2.584302 4.100867
2025-11-30 0.018982 0.120250 0.373592 0.886072 1.754915 3.042824 4.969364
2025-12-07 0.009930 0.098243 0.357323 0.922897 1.925718 3.455652 5.791573
2025-12-14 0.004207 0.076594 0.331762 0.935251 2.054321 3.809903 6.542948
2025-12-21 0.001153 0.055595 0.296279 0.918742 2.129017 4.082782 7.184348
2025-12-28 0.000245 0.043409 0.278480 0.933813 2.257148 4.441396 7.960871
2026-01-04 0.000010 0.032476 0.257073 0.935210 2.358254 4.759318 8.684751
2026-01-11 NaN 0.021534 0.225335 0.903932 2.393218 4.969579 9.250481
2026-01-18 NaN 0.013833 0.198782 0.879956 2.441789 5.208478 9.875794
2026-01-25 NaN 0.009701 0.185330 0.887431 2.552786 5.556243 10.680541
2026-02-01 NaN 0.005385 0.160507 0.855207 2.578499 5.759133 11.264212
2026-02-08 NaN 0.004227 0.159964 0.896401 2.761286 6.239355 12.297942
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002578 0.148292 0.898849 2.860186 6.575877 13.110406
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002288 0.154646 0.963265 3.099126 7.166865 14.343392
2026-03-01 NaN 0.001702 0.153821 1.002493 3.283984 7.666581 15.438706
2026-03-08 NaN 0.001016 0.146240 1.015687 3.410576 8.065259 16.377974
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000413 0.131638 0.998254 3.464906 8.334183 17.110624
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000198 0.126027 1.014247 3.597749 8.749524 18.090488
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000061 0.117542 1.015740 3.695429 9.101869 18.971708